Toreno vs Fabero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
58.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 1
TOR
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
BOS
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FUT
1 - 0
TOR
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
TOR
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
MAT
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FAB
1 - 1
BER
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
FAB
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
LAC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 1
FAB
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
ATL
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |