Toreno vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
HUL
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDE
50%
26%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
LEO
1 - 1
TOR
64%
22%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
TOR
2 - 2
CFP
20%
28%
52%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
VAL
3 - 0
TOR
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
AST
4 - 0
CAC
60%
22%
17%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
PON
0 - 0
AST
51%
26%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
AST
0 - 4
CAB
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
SAL
0 - 1
AST
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
AST
1 - 1
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |