Toreno vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
TOR
4 - 1
BÉJ
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
CDU
0 - 1
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 2
SAL
24%
29%
48%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
AST
3 - 1
TOR
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
TOR
1 - 2
AST
26%
26%
48%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
AST
0 - 1
VAL
31%
28%
41%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
MED
1 - 1
AST
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
AST
0 - 1
UDC
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
CAB
0 - 1
AST
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |