Toreno vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PON
1 - 0
TOR
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 1
CDG
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
LEO
0 - 0
TOR
58%
24%
18%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACF
74%
18%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CFB
1 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
AST
0 - 0
CUL
25%
25%
50%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
VDB
1 - 1
AST
30%
26%
43%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AST
9 - 0
BÉJ
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CDU
0 - 2
AST
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AST
0 - 0
SAL
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |