Toreno vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
TOR
1 - 0
TOR
32%
28%
40%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
TOR
4 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
VAL
2 - 0
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
TOR
2 - 2
MED
56%
23%
20%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
BÉJ
4 - 1
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
AST
1 - 1
CAB
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
BAÑ
3 - 1
AST
29%
27%
43%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 1984 |
AST
5 - 0
VDB
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
SAL
3 - 3
AST
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
AST
2 - 1
CFB
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |