Toreno vs Arévalo e Hijos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
SPH
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
TOR
2 - 2
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
VEL
1 - 1
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
TOR
0 - 1
MED
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
CAB
3 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Arévalo e Hijos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
AEH
0 - 3
SAL
21%
27%
52%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
AST
2 - 1
AEH
79%
15%
6%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
AEH
0 - 3
LEO
20%
28%
52%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
UXA
0 - 2
AEH
48%
26%
26%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
AEH
2 - 2
SDA
23%
27%
50%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |