Toralense vs Fabero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOS
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 4
TOR
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 3
BER
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
TOR
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 1
DEH
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
1 - 2
FAB
36%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 1
PON
33%
22%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FAB
7 - 1
FUT
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |