Toralense vs Matarrosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAR
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
BOS
1 - 0
TOR
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 3
FUT
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAR
0 - 3
MAT
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
FUT
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAT
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
4 - 2
ARE
41%
23%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |