CD Tolox vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
5.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
79.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
1.2%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.5%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOL
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOL
4 - 2
MLL
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
8 - 1
TOL
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 3
ASE
21%
20%
59%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 0
TOL
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
8 - 3
CES
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 5
PEN
7%
11%
83%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
2 - 1
PEN
42%
21%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 1
VEL
56%
19%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
CDM
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |