CD Tolox vs Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 3
TOL
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 2
PZR
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 0
TOL
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOL
1 - 2
YPP
57%
19%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAN
62%
18%
21%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDV
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
GUA
71%
15%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDA
11%
15%
75%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AES
1 - 2
GUA
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CDM
1 - 0
GUA
49%
20%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |