CD Tolox vs CD Almargen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
TOL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
GUA
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 3
TOL
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 2
PZR
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDB
2 - 0
TOL
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD Almargen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 3
CDV
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
5 - 2
CDA
57%
19%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
2 - 0
CDA
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AES
0 - 2
CDA
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 3
ALO
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |