CD Tolox vs At. Estación B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
15.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ALO
0 - 1
TOL
23%
20%
58%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
CDA
60%
18%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
TOL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
TOL
3 - 1
GUA
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 3
TOL
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
At. Estación B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AES
1 - 2
CDV
26%
20%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
3 - 2
AES
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AES
2 - 0
CDA
11%
15%
74%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SRM
3 - 2
AES
40%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALO
0 - 2
AES
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |