CD Tolox vs Ardales Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
48.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 1
TOL
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
ALM
48%
19%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 1
TOL
59%
18%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
7 - 0
SRM
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
CDV
56%
19%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ardales Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 0
CDV
69%
16%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 6
ARD
45%
21%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 0
CDA
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AES
1 - 5
ARD
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 1
ALO
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |