CD Toledo vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89%
Win probability
4.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.3%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.9%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
6.6%
4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
MER
2 - 1
CDT
69%
15%
16%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
CDT
1 - 3
MAN
81%
11%
8%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
CDB
1 - 6
CDT
58%
19%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
CDT
3 - 1
CDB
66%
17%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDT
48%
21%
32%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
UDG
3 - 2
GUA
61%
18%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
UBC
0 - 4
UDG
72%
15%
13%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
UDG
2 - 0
CUA
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +4 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
EXT
5 - 4
UDG
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
UDG
1 - 1
PUE
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |