CD Toledo vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 0
SES
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
CDT
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALC
12%
20%
69%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
CDT
1 - 1
LEG
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
CDT
0 - 2
RAY
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
UBC
0 - 0
MAD
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TAL
3 - 0
UBC
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
UBC
1 - 1
UDM
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 0
UBC
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
UBC
2 - 0
JER
41%
29%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |