CD Toledo vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
COL
1 - 1
CDT
47%
28%
25%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 2
CDT
93%
6%
1%
|
38 | 86 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
4 - 2
NUM
78%
16%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 1
CDT
61%
25%
15%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 5
ATM
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 0
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
TCF
94%
5%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TCF
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
TCF
5 - 0
VAL
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
TCF
0 - 5
UDL
14%
20%
66%
|
34 | 82 | 48 | 0 |