Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 0-1
CD Toledo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
MLL
4 - 0
CDT
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
CDT
0 - 1
CDB
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ATB
3 - 2
CDT
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 2
VIL
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
SPO
0 - 0
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
0 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
VCF
2 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
SPO
1 - 1
SEV
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
LOG
0 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |