CD Toledo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
CDM
1 - 5
CDT
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
CDT
0 - 1
DEP
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
LUG
0 - 0
CDT
25%
28%
48%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
CDT
1 - 2
SSR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
PPJ
2 - 1
CDT
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
RMC
0 - 4
ZAM
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
RMC
0 - 1
CDM
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
DEP
2 - 4
RMC
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
RMC
4 - 0
LUG
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
SSR
0 - 2
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |