CD Toledo vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CDT
4 - 1
SSC
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
AMA
0 - 1
CDT
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 0
LLE
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
ECI
0 - 0
CDT
32%
30%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
CDT
0 - 1
OSA
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
RMC
0 - 0
EIB
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SSC
3 - 0
RMC
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 0
CDB
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
AMA
0 - 1
RMC
24%
27%
49%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
ATH
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |