CD Toledo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
BNS
2 - 0
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATB
0 - 0
CDT
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
CDT
1 - 0
BNS
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 2
CDT
70%
20%
11%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDT
2 - 0
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
5 - 0
LEG
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OVI
2 - 0
SSR
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 0
OVI
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OVI
1 - 0
CDT
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |