CD Toledo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
AVI
4 - 0
CDT
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CDT
3 - 2
GIM
73%
15%
13%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
PUE
3 - 0
CDT
76%
13%
11%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDG
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
SEG
3 - 4
CDT
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ARA
4 - 1
UDG
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
UBC
3 - 1
ARA
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
ARA
2 - 2
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARA
2 - 1
PUL
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
AGR
1 - 1
ARA
60%
19%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |