Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-2
CD Toledo vs Getafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CDT
2 - 2
FCB
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
OSA
0 - 1
CDT
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
GET
2 - 2
CDT
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
CDT
4 - 0
ECI
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
CDT
1 - 2
LOG
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Getafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
1 - 1
GET
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GET
0 - 0
MAR
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
GET
2 - 2
CDT
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MAN
1 - 1
GET
30%
31%
39%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
GET
0 - 1
MLL
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |