Segunda B Play-Offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
CD Toledo vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATB
1 - 0
CDT
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ATH
3 - 0
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CDT
5 - 1
ZAM
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UDS
0 - 1
CDT
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 1
CDT
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATB
1 - 0
CDT
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ATB
1 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATB
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATB
0 - 1
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAG
0 - 0
ATB
42%
28%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |