CD Toledo vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 3
CDT
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
MEL
19%
25%
55%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +4 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CDT
2 - 0
CDM
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 3
MUR
14%
25%
61%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
77%
16%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CSP
1 - 2
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
MEL
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
5 - 0
AGU
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 2
ATH
9%
21%
70%
|
42 | 87 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
MAN
71%
20%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |