CD Toledo vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CDT
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VEC
1 - 1
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
4 - 2
ULP
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 1
ULP
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
1 - 1
ALC
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 0
OVI
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
ALC
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |