Thader vs Villajoyosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
THD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
THD
4 - 3
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIJ
3 - 1
THD
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
NUC
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 2
THD
57%
21%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villajoyosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
VIJ
0 - 2
CAL
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
HOR
1 - 2
VIJ
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIJ
3 - 1
THD
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
VIJ
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIJ
1 - 2
ALM
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |