Thader vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
THD
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 2
THD
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
THD
1 - 2
VIJ
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
BEN
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PET
2 - 1
HON
46%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
RAF
1 - 0
PET
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PET
3 - 2
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |