Thader vs Orihuela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
THD
3 - 1
ELU
59%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NUD
2 - 0
THD
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
THD
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
THD
3 - 2
RED
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 2
THD
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Orihuela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 1
ORI
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ORI
0 - 4
RED
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MUR
2 - 0
ORI
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 0
ATH
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
ORI
42%
24%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |