Thader vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
CAL
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THD
0 - 0
RAY
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
THD
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
THD
1 - 1
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPO
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ELD
6 - 0
NOV
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 3
BEN
26%
27%
48%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
RAY
4 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
9%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 7
UNI
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |