Thader vs Monforte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 0
THD
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
THD
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
PAI
3 - 2
THD
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
THD
1 - 1
PAI
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
THD
2 - 4
JOV
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Monforte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
VIJ
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
DOL
2 - 4
MON
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
PIN
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 1
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 0
MON
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |