Thader vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BFL
1 - 1
THD
36%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
THD
4 - 2
RAV
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
THD
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
THD
4 - 0
SPO
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
THD
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
NOV
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
MUR
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 2
RAY
21%
23%
57%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
MUR
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 2
CRE
27%
27%
46%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |