Thader vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
THD
35%
24%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HON
2 - 1
THD
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
THD
1 - 3
BEN
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
THD
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
THD
5 - 1
PET
41%
24%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
BEN
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 3
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |