Técnico Universitario vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
CUE
1 - 3
TEC
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TEC
3 - 0
LOJ
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 2
TEC
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TEC
3 - 0
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOJ
6 - 0
TEC
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLM
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
LIG
1 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 2
MAN
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |