CD Tapatío vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tapatío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
UDG
1 - 2
CDT
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDG
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
CDT
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CDT
4 - 0
UAT
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 2
CDT
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
RVC
0 - 2
TEM
11%
15%
75%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDG
2 - 1
TEM
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TEM
2 - 1
UDG
21%
26%
54%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ZAC
1 - 2
TEM
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TEM
4 - 0
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |