Sporting Riazano vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Riazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
4 - 2
SPO
73%
15%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
SPO
79%
12%
9%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
0 - 4
MON
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 7
CUE
28%
20%
52%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
SPO
72%
18%
11%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 4
MOZ
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
COC
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UNA
0 - 1
VIL
57%
20%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
MON
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASU
2 - 2
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |