Sporting Riazano vs R. Villacastin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Riazano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 3
SPO
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 3
TUR
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
SPO
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
MON
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
R. Villacastin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 3
PRA
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
RAC
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
POL
2 - 3
RAC
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 0
UNA
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |