Serranos vs Alaquas I Walter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+136%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
TUR
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 4
SER
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ANT
1 - 0
SER
14%
18%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
BUR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MON
0 - 4
SER
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MIS
3 - 3
ALA
52%
21%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
MEL
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TAV
4 - 3
ALA
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 1
ALA
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 0
ANT
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |