Serranos vs Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CLU
4 - 2
SER
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SER
10 - 1
MAS
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
XIR
1 - 0
SER
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
CAS
63%
19%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 3
SER
22%
21%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
MIS
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 1
MON
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MON
4 - 4
ALA
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 2
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
ANT
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |