Serranos vs A. Moncadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
1 - 1
SER
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
VIL
61%
20%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 2
SER
66%
17%
17%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
A. Moncadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
TAV
28%
22%
51%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATL
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALF
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 2
ATL
25%
21%
55%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 0
ALB
43%
22%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |