La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
UCH
3 - 0
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
DLS
4 - 2
COQ
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
DCO
1 - 3
DLS
11%
18%
71%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
COQ
1 - 1
DLS
16%
21%
63%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
DLS
1 - 0
DCO
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 2
DEP
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
QUK
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
HUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |