La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
COB
4 - 0
DLS
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
DLS
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
DLS
0 - 3
HUA
52%
23%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
DLS
2 - 1
EVE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UCH
4 - 2
UCO
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 3
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
HUA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |