La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
HUA
4 - 1
DLS
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
COL
3 - 1
DLS
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
DLS
2 - 1
COQ
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DLS
3 - 2
SWA
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CSL
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |