La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
46.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COB
1 - 1
DLS
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
DLS
3 - 1
ACS
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CSL
6 - 1
DLS
57%
21%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DLS
1 - 3
UCH
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
DLS
1 - 3
HUA
31%
24%
46%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |