La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 1
CDM
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
DLS
1 - 3
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2002 |
ULC
3 - 3
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
2 - 3
DLS
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
OVA
0 - 0
DLS
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
OVA
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
53%
23%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 1
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
NTA
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |