La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
NTA
3 - 2
DLS
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
DLS
1 - 1
MAG
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
DLS
3 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
ULC
7 - 1
DLS
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
DLS
1 - 1
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCO
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CDM
2 - 0
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
EVE
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |