La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 2
COQ
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACS
3 - 2
DLS
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 3
IQU
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
USF
3 - 0
DLS
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DLS
3 - 1
CSL
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COB
4 - 3
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
47%
24%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |