La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
CDM
2 - 3
DLS
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 0
CSD
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 0
DLS
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DLS
0 - 1
ACS
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 4
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 2
UCO
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
8 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
5 - 3
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |