La Serena vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 0
DLS
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DLS
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 2
DLS
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
COL
4 - 4
DLS
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 3
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
DLS
2 - 3
UCO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |