La Serena vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
3 - 0
TRA
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
DLS
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 1
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
0 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
DLS
7%
15%
78%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 2
UCH
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
MAG
2 - 2
UNI
11%
17%
72%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 0
UNI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |