La Serena vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
DLS
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
COL
4 - 0
DLS
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
3 - 1
IBE
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DLS
4 - 1
COL
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
DLS
1 - 1
PUE
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
ULC
0 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
CSL
1 - 1
ULC
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 1
ULC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ULC
1 - 1
PAL
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
ULC
0 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |